dc.contributor.author |
Malherbe, Johan
|
|
dc.contributor.author |
Landman, Willem Adolf
|
|
dc.contributor.author |
Olivier, Cobus
|
|
dc.contributor.author |
Sakuma, H.
|
|
dc.contributor.author |
Luo, J-J
|
|
dc.date.accessioned |
2015-09-18T12:15:06Z |
|
dc.date.available |
2015-09-18T12:15:06Z |
|
dc.date.issued |
2014-07 |
|
dc.description.abstract |
Forecasts of a Global Coupled Model for Austral summer with a 1-month lead are
downscaled to end-of-season maize yields and accumulated streamflow over the Limpopo
Province and adjacent districts in northeastern South Africa through application of a MOS
(Model Output Statistics) approach applied over a 28-year period. Promising results, based on the hindcasts of the Global Models and historically observed yield and streamflow data,
suggest potential for a commodity-orientated forecast system for application in agriculture in
an operational environment. It also serves as a baseline study for inclusion of sophisticated
crop or runoff models utilising GCM output data towards estimating potential yields and
streamflows in the region. |
en_ZA |
dc.description.librarian |
hb2015 |
en_ZA |
dc.description.sponsorship |
SATREPS and by ACCESS. |
en_ZA |
dc.description.uri |
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1469-8080 |
en_ZA |
dc.identifier.citation |
Malherbe, J, Landman, WA, Olivier, C, Sakuma, H & Luo, J-J 2014, 'Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa', Meteorological Applications, vol. 21, no. 3, pp. 733-742. |
en_ZA |
dc.identifier.issn |
1350-4827 (print) |
|
dc.identifier.issn |
1469-8080 (online) |
|
dc.identifier.other |
10.1002/met.1402 |
|
dc.identifier.uri |
http://hdl.handle.net/2263/49992 |
|
dc.language.iso |
en |
en_ZA |
dc.publisher |
Wiley |
en_ZA |
dc.rights |
© 2013 Royal Meteorological Society. This is the pre-peer reviewed version of the following article : (name of article), Meteorological Applications, vol. 21, no. 3, pp. 733-742, 2014. doi : 10.1002/met.1402. The definite version is available at : http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1002/(ISSN)1469-8080. |
en_ZA |
dc.subject |
Seasonal forecasts |
en_ZA |
dc.subject |
SINTEX-F coupled model |
en_ZA |
dc.subject |
Maize yield |
en_ZA |
dc.subject |
Streamflow estimates |
en_ZA |
dc.subject |
North-eastern |
en_ZA |
dc.subject |
South Africa |
en_ZA |
dc.title |
Seasonal forecasts of the SINTEX-F coupled model applied to maize yield and streamflow estimates over north-eastern South Africa |
en_ZA |
dc.type |
Postprint Article |
en_ZA |