Precipitation from persistent extremes is increasing in most regions and globally

dc.contributor.authorDu, Haibo
dc.contributor.authorAlexander, Lisa V.
dc.contributor.authorDonat, Markus G.
dc.contributor.authorLippmann, Tanya
dc.contributor.authorSrivastava, Arvind
dc.contributor.authorSalinger, Jim
dc.contributor.authorKruger, Andries C.
dc.contributor.authorChoi, Gwangyong
dc.contributor.authorHe, Hong S.
dc.contributor.authorFujibe, Fumiaki
dc.contributor.authorRusticucci, Matilde
dc.contributor.authorNandintsetseg, Banzragch
dc.contributor.authorManzanas, Rodrigo
dc.contributor.authorRehman, Shafiqur
dc.contributor.authorAbbas, Farhat
dc.contributor.authorZhai, Panmao
dc.contributor.authorYabi, Ibouraïma
dc.contributor.authorStambaugh, Michael C.
dc.contributor.authorWang, Shengzhong
dc.contributor.authorBatbold, Altangerel
dc.contributor.authorDe Oliveira, Priscilla Teles
dc.contributor.authorAdrees, Muhammad
dc.contributor.authorHou, Wei
dc.contributor.authorZong, Shengwei
dc.contributor.authorSantos e Silva, Claudio Moises
dc.contributor.authorLucio, Paulo Sergio
dc.contributor.authorWu, Zhengfang
dc.date.accessioned2020-08-24T07:51:15Z
dc.date.available2020-08-24T07:51:15Z
dc.date.issued2019-06-16
dc.descriptionData Set names: the CMIP5 data set (http://pcmdi9.llnl.gov/), the GHCND data set (https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/ ghcn‐daily‐description), the ECA&D data set (https://www.ecad.eu/), the USHCN data set (http://cdiac.ess‐dive. lbl.gov/ftp/ushcn_daily/), and the data set for Canada (http://climate.weather. gc.ca/). Observed data set is available online (https://doi.org/10.5281/ zenodo.2573295).en_ZA
dc.description.abstractExtreme precipitation often persists for multiple days with variable duration but has usually been examined at fixed duration. Here we show that considering extreme persistent precipitation by complete event with variable duration, rather than a fixed temporal period, is a necessary metric to account for the complexity of changing precipitation. Observed global mean annual‐maximum precipitation is significantly stronger (49.5%) for persistent extremes than daily extremes. However, both globally observed and modeled rates of relative increases are lower for persistent extremes compared to daily extremes, especially for Southern Hemisphere and large regions in the 0‐45°N latitude band. Climate models also show significant differences in the magnitude and partly even the sign of local mean changes between daily and persistent extremes in global warming projections. Changes in extreme precipitation therefore are more complex than previously reported, and extreme precipitation events with varying duration should be taken into account for future climate change assessments.en_ZA
dc.description.departmentGeography, Geoinformatics and Meteorologyen_ZA
dc.description.librarianam2020en_ZA
dc.description.sponsorshipThe National Key R&D Program of China (2016YFA0602301), National Natural Science Foundation of China (41601052), Science and Technology Development Plan of Jilin Province (20190201291JC and 20180520098JH), the Spanish Ministry for the Economy, Industry and Competitiveness Ramón y Cajal 2017 (RYC‐2017‐22964), the EU Horizon 2020 EUCP project (776613), and National University of Mongolia (P2017‐2504).en_ZA
dc.description.urihttps://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/19448007en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationDu, H., Alexander, L. V., Donat, M. G., Lippmann, T., Srivastava, A., Salinger, J., et al. (2019). Precipitation frompersistent extremes is increasing in most regions and globally. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 6041–6049. https://DOI.org/ 10.1029/2019GL081898.en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn0094-8276 (print)
dc.identifier.issn1944-8007 (online)
dc.identifier.other10.1029/2019GL081898
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2263/75863
dc.language.isoenen_ZA
dc.publisherWileyen_ZA
dc.rights© 2019. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.en_ZA
dc.subjectPrecipitationen_ZA
dc.subjectFixed durationen_ZA
dc.subjectExtreme persistenten_ZA
dc.subjectSouthern Hemisphereen_ZA
dc.titlePrecipitation from persistent extremes is increasing in most regions and globallyen_ZA
dc.typeArticleen_ZA

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