Backward bifurcation analysis for two continuous and discrete epidemiological models 

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Authors

Anguelov, Roumen
Dukuza, Njengele Kenneth Kennedy
Lubuma, Jean M.-S.

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Publisher

Wiley

Abstract

The bifurcation analysis of a continuous n‐dimensional nonlinear dynamical system with a nonhyperbolic equilibrium point is done by using the main theorem in the work of Castillo‐Chavez and Song. We derive an analog of this theorem for discrete dynamical systems. We design nonstandard finite difference schemes for a susceptible‐infectious‐susceptible epidemiological model with vaccination and for a malaria model. For the latter model, we sharpen the interval of the values of the disease induced death rate for which backward bifurcation may occur. Applying the discrete theorem, it is shown that each nonstandard finite difference scheme replicates the property of the continuous model of having backward bifurcation at the value one of the basic reproduction number.

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Keywords

Bifurcation analysis, Center manifold theory, Epidemiological model, Reproductive number

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Citation

Anguelov R, Dukuza K, Lubuma JM-S. Backward bifurcation analy-sis for two continuous and discrete epidemiological models. Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences. 2018;41:8784–8798.https://doi.org/10.1002/mma.5138.