Predicting turning points in the South African economy

dc.contributor.authorMoolman, Elna
dc.date.accessioned2007-07-27T07:02:05Z
dc.date.available2007-07-27T07:02:05Z
dc.date.issued2003-06
dc.description.abstractDespite the existence of macroeconomic models and complex business cycle indicators, it would be beneficial to policymakers and market participants if they could look at one well-chosen indicator in predicting business cycle turning points. If one indicator accurately predicts business cycle turning points, it provides an easy way to confirm the predictions of macroeconomic models, or it can eliminate the need for a macroeconomic model if the interest is in the turning points and not in the levels of the business cycle. The objective of this paper is to investigate whether turning points of the South African business cycle can be predicted with only one economic indicator.en
dc.format.extent64320 bytes
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.citationMoolman, E 2003, 'Predicting turning points in the South African economy', South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 289-303. [http://www.journals.co.za/ej/ejour_ecoman.html]en
dc.identifier.issn1015-8812
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2263/3177
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherFaculty of Economic and Management Sciences, University of Pretoriaen
dc.rightsFaculty of Economic and Management Sciences, University of Pretoriaen
dc.subjectSouth African economyen
dc.subjectBusiness cycle turning pointsen
dc.subjectMacroeconomic modelsen
dc.subjectSouth African business cycleen
dc.subjectEconomic indicatoren
dc.subject.lcshBusiness cycles -- South Africa
dc.subject.lcshEconomic indicators -- South Africa
dc.titlePredicting turning points in the South African economyen
dc.typeArticleen

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