Determining South Africa’s export potential to Australia : a panel data approach

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Jordaan, Andre Cillie

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University of Pretoria, Department of Economics

Abstract

This study explores South Africa’s exports to Australia from 2000 to 2012, using both a static and a dynamic augmented gravity model. Sectors with export potential are identified, whether these are reliable and stable is considered. The largest export potential includes the apparel sectors as well as the basic metals, communication, furniture, glass, iron, leather, motor, paper and printing sectors. The most stable and reliable export sectors are the motor, machinery, iron, basic chemicals and food sectors. Although these sectors could target the promotion of South African exports, South Africa could also serve as an important source country for Australia in strengthening ties with the African continent.

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Keywords

Bilateral trade, Exports, Gravity model, Export potential, Australia, South Africa (SA), South African exports

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Citation

Jordaan, AC 2015, 'Determining South Africa’s export potential to Australia : a panel data approach', South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences, vol. 18, no. 3, pp. 354-365.