Lessons from Nigeria : the role of roads in the geo-temporal progression of avian influenza (H5N1) virus

dc.contributor.authorRivas, Ariel L.
dc.contributor.authorChowell, G.
dc.contributor.authorSchwager, S.J.
dc.contributor.authorFasina, Folorunso Oludayo
dc.contributor.authorHoogesteijn, Almira L.
dc.contributor.authorSmith, Steven D.
dc.contributor.authorBisschop, S.P.R. (Shahn)
dc.contributor.authorAnderson, K.L.
dc.contributor.authorHyman, James M.
dc.date.accessioned2010-06-25T07:21:00Z
dc.date.available2010-06-25T07:21:00Z
dc.date.issued2009
dc.description.abstractThe daily progression of the 2006 (January–June) Nigerian avian influenza (AI H5N1) epidemic was assessed in relation to both spatial variables and the generation interval of the invading virus. Proximity to the highway network appeared to promote epidemic dispersal : from the first AI generation interval onwards >20% of all cases were located at <5 km from the nearest major road. Fifty-seven per cent of all cases were located f31 km from three highway intersections. Findings suggest that the spatial features of emerging infections could be key in their control. When the spatial location of a transmission factor is well known, such as that of the highway network, and a substantial percentage of cases (e.g. >20%) are near that factor, early interventions focusing on transmission factors, such as road blocks that prevent poultry trade, may be more efficacious than interventions applied only to the susceptible population.en
dc.description.librarianab2013 (Author correction)
dc.identifier.citationRivas, AL, Chowell, G, Schwager, SJ, Fasina, FO, Hoogesteijn, AL, Smith, SD, Bisschop, SPR, Anderson, KL & Hyman, JM 2009, 'Lessons from Nigeria : the role of roads in the geo-temporal progression of avian influenza (H5N1) virus', Epidemiology and Infection, vol. 138, pp. 192-198. [http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayJournal?jid=HYG]en
dc.identifier.issn0950-2688
dc.identifier.other10.1017/S0950268809990495
dc.identifier.other16416667800
dc.identifier.otherH-9699-2013
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2263/14338
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherCambridge University Pressen
dc.relation.requiresAdobe Acrobat Readeren
dc.rightsCambridge University Pressen
dc.subjectAvian fluen
dc.subjectEmerging infectious diseasesen
dc.subjectGeographical information systemsen
dc.subjectSurveillanceen
dc.subjectGIS
dc.subject.lcshAvian influenzaen
dc.subject.lcshPoultry -- Virus diseases -- Nigeriaen
dc.titleLessons from Nigeria : the role of roads in the geo-temporal progression of avian influenza (H5N1) virusen
dc.typeArticleen

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