Just energy transition of South Africa in a post-COVID era

dc.contributor.authorBohlmann, Heinrich R.
dc.contributor.authorBohlmann, Jessika Andreina
dc.contributor.authorChitiga-Mabugu, Margaret
dc.contributor.authorInglesi-Lotz, Roula
dc.contributor.emailroula.inglesi-lotz@up.ac.zaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2024-01-16T07:43:45Z
dc.date.available2024-01-16T07:43:45Z
dc.date.issued2023-07-11
dc.descriptionDATA AVAILABILITY STATEMENT : Data can be shared upon request.en_US
dc.description.abstractThe impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic have sparked global debate over how green economic recovery may and should be, and if the pandemic has accelerated the present energy transition while assuring a just transition for vulnerable populations such as unskilled workers and women. This study investigates the socioeconomic impact of South Africa’s planned green energy transition, with a focus on the Mpumalanga province—the country’s largest coal mining region with many coal-fired power plants. Using a regional-dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, the study analyses the economy-wide effects of different policy scenarios related to a changing electricity generation mix, investment financing costs, and international action against non-compliant industries, amongst others, with a specific focus on the vulnerable industries and population groups in Mpumalanga. Key results from the study highlights that (1) the structure of the Mpumalanga economy will be affected in the medium to long run regardless of the domestic transition path, (2) the Mpumalanga economy is indeed in danger of shrinking relative to the baseline, unless the Just Energy Transition (JET) is quickly and carefully managed, and (3) at a national level, at least, there is the strong possibility of a double dividend when greening the South African economy with overall economic growth and environmental outcomes expected to improve in the long run.en_US
dc.description.departmentEconomicsen_US
dc.description.librarianam2024en_US
dc.description.sdgSDG-07:Affordable and clean energyen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipGIZ-South Africa.en_US
dc.description.urihttps://www.mdpi.com/journal/sustainabilityen_US
dc.identifier.citationBohlmann, H.R.; Bohlmann, J.A.; Chitiga-Mabugu, M.; Inglesi-Lotz, R. Just Energy Transition of South Africa in a Post-COVID Era. Sustainability 2023, 15, 10854. https://DOI.org/10.3390/su151410854.en_US
dc.identifier.issn2071-1050 (online)
dc.identifier.other10.3390/su151410854
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2263/93978
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherMDPIen_US
dc.rights© 2023 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license.en_US
dc.subjectLeave no one behinden_US
dc.subjectSustainabilityen_US
dc.subjectGreeningen_US
dc.subjectCoalen_US
dc.subjectComputable general equilibrium (CGE)en_US
dc.subjectJust energy transition (JET)en_US
dc.subjectSDG-07: Affordable and clean energyen_US
dc.titleJust energy transition of South Africa in a post-COVID eraen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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