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The crime drop in South Africa : an exploratory research note

dc.contributor.authorBreetzke, Gregory Dennis
dc.contributor.authorGirmay, Luna Asefaw
dc.contributor.emailgreg.breetzke@up.ac.zaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2025-02-07T06:24:13Z
dc.date.available2025-02-07T06:24:13Z
dc.date.issued2025-03
dc.descriptionDATA AVAILABILITY : The data that support the findings of this study are available on request from the corresponding author.en_US
dc.description.abstractResearch examining the crime drop has become increasingly popular with a plethora of studies showing how crime has declined since the 1990s. The vast majority of this research has, however, emanated from the United States and other ‘Western’ countries. In this study, we undertook a national-level analysis of crime trends in South Africa from 2010 to 2019 using official police data. Results showed that crime did drop marginally in the country over the study period although there is substantial variability in crime decline by crime type and geography. Moreover, various socio-demographic characteristics, such as income inequality, were found to possibly influence the temporal trends of crime in the country observed. These findings underscore the importance of context-specific analyses in understanding decadal crime trends and highlight the need for targeted, geographically nuanced approaches to crime prevention in South Africa.en_US
dc.description.departmentGeography, Geoinformatics and Meteorologyen_US
dc.description.librarianhj2024en_US
dc.description.sdgSDG-16:Peace,justice and strong institutionsen_US
dc.description.sponsorshipOpen access funding provided by University of Pretoria.en_US
dc.description.urihttps://link.springer.com/journal/41284en_US
dc.identifier.citationBreetzke, G.D., Girmay, L.A. The crime drop in South Africa: an exploratory research note. Security Journal 38, 14 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41284-024-00459-9.en_US
dc.identifier.issn0955-1662 (print)
dc.identifier.issn1743-4645 (online)
dc.identifier.other10.1057/s41284-024-00459-9.
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2263/100603
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherSpringeren_US
dc.rights© The Author(s) 2025. Open Access. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.en_US
dc.subjectCrime dropen_US
dc.subjectSouth Africa (SA)en_US
dc.subjectPolice precincten_US
dc.subjectMann–Kendall trend testen_US
dc.subjectANOVAen_US
dc.subjectSDG-16: Peace, justice and strong institutionsen_US
dc.titleThe crime drop in South Africa : an exploratory research noteen_US
dc.typePostprint Articleen_US

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