The impact of risk on bilateral trade in the Southern African Customs Union (SACU)

dc.contributor.authorMlipha, S.S.B.
dc.contributor.authorKalaba, Mmatlou W.
dc.date.accessioned2019-03-07T07:27:02Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.description.abstractIn spite of the enormous risks facing developing countries in the trade arena, empirical studies have not adequately addressed the impact of risk on bilateral trade. The research that has been done isolates the impact of one type of risk and this methodology falls short in helping us understand the true impact of risk on trade. This situation is as much a consequence of the absence of a risk framework, as it is a result of the fragmented nature of the literature. This study develops a framework for quantifying risk in the South African Customs Union (SACU). This methodology adequately addresses the spill-over and snowballing-effects of risk. The results show a positive and negative impact of risk for the importer and exporter respectively. These findings suggest that if the resilience of the SACU countries is not improved, then their endeavour of economic growth through trade will be greatly compromised.en_ZA
dc.description.departmentAgricultural Economics, Extension and Rural Developmenten_ZA
dc.description.embargo2020-08-06
dc.description.librarianhj2019en_ZA
dc.description.sponsorshipAfrican Economic Research Consortium [grant number AP13P03].en_ZA
dc.description.urihttp://www.tandfonline.com/loi/cdsa20en_ZA
dc.identifier.citationS. S. B. Mlipha & M. Kalaba (2020): The impact of risk on bilateraltrade in the Southern African Customs Union (SACU), Development Southern Africa 37(1): 1-18, DOI:10.1080/0376835X.2019.1572496.en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn0376-835X (print)
dc.identifier.issn1470-3637 (online)
dc.identifier.other10.1080/0376835X.2019.1572496
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/2263/68598
dc.language.isoenen_ZA
dc.publisherRoutledgeen_ZA
dc.rights© 2019 Government Technical Advisory Centre (GTAC). This is an electronic version of an article published in Development Southern Africa, vol. 37, no. 1, pp. 1-18, 2020. doi : 10.1080/0376835X.2019.1572496. Development Southern Africa is available online at : http://www.tandfonline.comloi/cdsa20.en_ZA
dc.subjectComposite risk indexen_ZA
dc.subjectGravity modelen_ZA
dc.subjectRisken_ZA
dc.subjectSouth African Customs Union (SACU)en_ZA
dc.subjectTradeen_ZA
dc.subjectBilateral tradeen_ZA
dc.titleThe impact of risk on bilateral trade in the Southern African Customs Union (SACU)en_ZA
dc.typePostprint Articleen_ZA

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