Guidelines for evaluating the success of large carnivore reintroductions
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Elsevier
Abstract
Anthropogenic impacts have led to widespread species decline and extirpation, compelling a global movement to regenerate biodiversity through holistic ecosystem restoration including reintroductions. Despite increasing conservation-driven reintroduction efforts over the past century, peer-reviewed literature and policy providing criteria to evaluate reintroduction efficacy remain limited. Without comprehensive and quantifiable metrics of reintroduction success, such drastic conservation intervention strategies cannot be objectively evaluated nor compared, hindering the advancement of the restoration discipline. Herein, we reviewed 227 large carnivore reintroductions of 14 terrestrial mammal species across 23 countries since 1930 to contextualize global efforts to date, and from these, developed a standardized framework to evaluate reintroduction success. We retrospectively determined the extent to which existing studies met these criteria towards identifying current knowledge gaps and guide future reintroduction efforts. Most large carnivore records were of Felidae (70 %) reintroduced into ‘closed’ systems (69 %) across southern Africa (70 %). Our proposed framework provides a full suite of stages, indicators, and targets for reintroduction evaluation, which, when retrospectively applied to reviewed studies, indicated that at least one-third lacked sufficient information to effectively evaluate reintroduction outcomes. This comprehensive and prioritized framework provides novel transparency and scalability to large carnivore reintroduction programs, which is increasingly required to secure sustained support of impacted communities and stakeholder networks. Moreover, incorporating this framework into future practice and policy as an applied tool may directly benefit the recovery of at least 30 large carnivore species, while its principles may be applied more broadly across taxonomic groups for faunal rewilding and global ecosystem restoration.
HIGHLIGHTS
• Large carnivore reintroductions are increasing, but reported success rates are not.
• Most reintroductions were of Felids into fenced systems in southern Africa.
• With 21 % of past studies reporting no metrics, knowledge transfer remains limited.
• We developed a framework to evaluate and compare large carnivore reintroductions.
• Our guidelines promote best-practice in faunal restoration and improve transparency.
Description
SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL
TABLE A1. Large carnivore species and subspecies, body mass (kg), species status, population trend, percent of historical range remaining, estimated number of mature individuals from wild populations, and number of reintroductions based on our review. Body masses are derived from Ripple et al. (2014) for consistency. IUCN Red List (IUCN, 2024) used for species status (LC=least concern, NT=near threatened, VU=vulnerable, EN=endangered, CR=critically endangered), trend (↑=increasing, ↓=decreasing, →=stable, ?=unknown). Based on publicly-available IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessments as of April 2024.
TABLE A2. Definitions of outcomes, based on Stepkovitch et al. (2022), assigned to reviewed large carnivore reintroduction studies (n = 227).
TABLE A3. List of reviewed large carnivore reintroductions studies (n = 227). Indicated are reintroduced carnivore species details, reintroduction details (i.e., location, country, system and year), reason for reintroduction, release method, number of individuals released, self-determined reintroduction outcome, time (in years) to self-determined outcome, and associated citations. Citations were derived from Stepkovitch et al. (2022) (font in black) and updated with additional references obtained during this study (font in red). Associated citations were also used to determine the stage of each reintroduction based on available information, and whether indicators were evaluated.
TABLE A4. Specific and measurable targets for comparably evaluating the relative success of large carnivore reintroductions. The data type, method, and analyses required to determine whether indicators meet targets are provided as guidelines. Species-specific references are also provided.
TABLE A5. Reintroduction evaluation scoring system template based on stage-dependent indicators. Indicators are prioritized by stage within IUCN/SSC (2013) guidelines: demographic performance1, behavioral monitoring2, ecological monitoring3, genetic monitoring4, health and mortality monitoring5, and social, cultural and economic monitoring6. Using a triage approach, priorities are assigned as: i) high (15), ii) moderate (5), and iii) low (1) likelihood of this indicator resulting in a reintroduction failure if unevaluated and the target is not met. Stage-based indicator should be considered a sliding scale of transitional priorities.
APPENDIX A. Effects plot and pairwise post-hoc Tukey tests of the multinomial logistic regression of reported reintroduction outcome by decade.
APPENDIX B. Expanded descriptions of stage-indicator-based priority weighting. This stage-based indicator and target framework should be considered as a sliding scale of transitional priorities (i.e., reintroduction programs can be evaluated at any time throughout the process and can both progress and regress across stages based on these criteria). As such, the threat of failure applies firstly to each stage and then the transition to overall failure (i.e., facilitating adaptive management through targeted and qualifiable interventions).
Keywords
Apex predators, Community support, Ecological restoration, Environmental policy, Reintroduction science, Rewilding
Sustainable Development Goals
SDG-15: Life on land
SDG-11: Sustainable cities and communities
SDG-11: Sustainable cities and communities
Citation
Briers-Louw, W.D., Lindsey, P., Gaylard, A. et al. 2025, 'Guidelines for evaluating the success of large carnivore reintroductions', Biological Conservation, vol. 310, art. 111350, pp. 1-18, doi : 10.1016/j.biocon.2025.111350.