Is the response of the Bank of England to exchange rate movements frequency-dependent?

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Authors

Gupta, Rangan
Caraiani, Petre

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Publisher

Elsevier

Abstract

In this paper, we estimate a Small Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (SOEDSGE) model of the United Kingdom (UK), with the main focus being to test the hypothesis whether the Bank of England (BoE) responds to (frequency-dependent) exchange rate movements or not. For our purpose, we use an extended quarterly data set spanning the period of 1986:Q2 to 2018:Q1, which in turn includes the zero lower bound situation, and also estimate the SOEDSGE model based on observable data decomposed into its frequency components. We find that the BoE not only responds to exchange rate movements in a statistically significant manner, but also that it primarily focuses on long-term movements of currency depreciations more strongly than shortterm fluctuations of the same. In general, our results are also confirmed for three other developed inflation-targeters namely, Australia, Canada and New Zealand.

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Keywords

Small open economy DSGE model, Monetary policy rule, Exchange rate, Structural estimation, Bayesian analysis, Wavelets, Small open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (SOEDSGE), United Kingdom (UK), Bank of England (BoE)

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Citation

Caraiani, P. & Gupta, R. 2020, 'Is the response of the Bank of England to exchange rate movements frequency-dependent?', Journal of Macroeconomics, vol. 63, art. 103187, pp. 1-10.