Bitcoin and global financial stress : a copula-based approach to dependence and causality in the quantiles

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dc.contributor.author Bouri, Elie
dc.contributor.author Gupta, Rangan
dc.contributor.author Lau, Chi Keung Marco
dc.contributor.author Roubaud, David
dc.contributor.author Wang, Shixuan
dc.date.accessioned 2019-05-22T08:10:40Z
dc.date.available 2019-05-22T08:10:40Z
dc.date.issued 2018-08
dc.description.abstract We apply different techniques and uncover the quantile conditional dependence between the global financial stress index and Bitcoin returns from July 18, 2010, to December 29, 2017. The results from the copula-based dependence show evidence of right-tail dependence between the global financial stress index and Bitcoin returns. We focus on the conditional quantile dependence and indicate that the global financial stress index strongly Granger-causes Bitcoin returns at the left and right tail of the distribution of the Bitcoin returns, conditional on the global financial stress index. Finally, we use a bivariate cross-quantilogram approach and show only limited directional predictability from the global financial stress index to Bitcoin returns in the medium term, for which Bitcoin can act as a safe-haven against global financial stress. en_ZA
dc.description.department Economics en_ZA
dc.description.librarian hj2019 en_ZA
dc.description.uri http://www.elsevier.com/locate/qre en_ZA
dc.identifier.citation Bouri, E., Gupta, R., Lau, C.K.M. et al. 2018, 'Bitcoin and global financial stress : a copula-based approach to dependence and causality in the quantiles', The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, vol. 69, pp. 297-307. en_ZA
dc.identifier.issn 1062-9769
dc.identifier.other 10.1016/j.qref.2018.04.003
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/2263/69195
dc.language.iso en en_ZA
dc.publisher Elsevier en_ZA
dc.rights © 2018 Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Notice : this is the author’s version of a work that was accepted for publication in Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. A definitive version was subsequently published in Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, vol. 69, pp. 297-307, 2018. doi : 10.1016/j.qref.2018.04.003. en_ZA
dc.subject Bitcoin en_ZA
dc.subject Global financial stress index en_ZA
dc.subject Dependence en_ZA
dc.subject Copula en_ZA
dc.subject Quantiles en_ZA
dc.title Bitcoin and global financial stress : a copula-based approach to dependence and causality in the quantiles en_ZA
dc.type Preprint Article en_ZA


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