Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika

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dc.contributor.advisor Schoeman, Maxi en
dc.contributor.postgraduate Henwood, Roland David en
dc.date.accessioned 2016-06-27T12:17:28Z
dc.date.available 2016-06-27T12:17:28Z
dc.date.created 2016-04-19 en
dc.date.issued 2016 en
dc.description Mini Dissertation (MA)--University of Pretoria, 2016. en
dc.description.abstract The objective with this study is to determine if political risk analysis is of value for the political decision-maker and also how political risk can be identified and factored into political decision-making. Electricity supply in South Africa was used to test the assumptions and findings related to political risk and decision-making. Political risk analysis was also not used in the traditional way to determine economic, investment or business risk, but rather to determine if the methods underlying political risk analysis are of any value to political decision-makers in deciding policy and policy-actions. The value of this study lies in determining a systematic and representative body of information and practice on political risk analysis to serve as tool and guideline for political decision-making. Political risk is used in the context of political decision-making, based on informed decision-making with a sensitivity towards forecasting, anticipation and prioritising of decisions. Different approaches to political risk, focussing on effective systems functioning, early warning and traditional political risk analysis were selected. From this a framework for the analysis of policy decisions and actions related to electricity supply in South Africa was developed. The analysis determined that the negative consequences of flawed decisions can be prevented, or can at least be limited if informed decisions are taken, based on an understanding of possible future outcomes and the implications thereof. The study concludes that the analytical framework based on political risk analysis is a valuable tool to assist political decision-makers. The flexible analytical framework developed in this study provides evidence of the value and use of political risk analysis as a tool to assist political decision-makers, that will also have value in policy relevant areas such as the provision of water, youth unemployment, development and education in South Africa. en
dc.description.availability Unrestricted en
dc.description.degree MA en
dc.description.department Political Sciences en
dc.identifier.citation Henwood, RD 2016, Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika, MA Mini Dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd <http://hdl.handle.net/2263/53409> en
dc.identifier.other A2016 en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/2263/53409
dc.language.iso Af en
dc.publisher University of Pretoria en_ZA
dc.rights © 2016 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria. en
dc.subject UCTD en
dc.title Politieke risiko-analise as hulpmiddel vir politieke besluitnemers : elektrisiteitsvoorsiening vir Suid-Afrika en
dc.type Mini Dissertation en


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