The eradication of extreme poverty is a key component of the post-2015
MDG process and the African Union’s Agenda 2063. This paper uses the
International Futures forecasting system to explore this goal and finds that
many African states are unlikely to make this target by 2030. In addition to
the use of country-level targets, this paper argues in favour of a goal that
would see Africa as a whole reducing extreme poverty to below 20% by 2030
(15% using 2011 purchasing power parity), and to below 3% by 2063.