Browsing Working Papers (Economics) by Issue Date

Browsing Working Papers (Economics) by Issue Date

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  • Gupta, Rangan (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-02)
    This paper develops a Bayesian Vector Error Correction Model (BVECM) for forecasting inventory investment in South Africa. The model is estimated using quarterly data on actual sales, production, unfilled orders, price ...
  • Koch, Steven F.; Ground, Marc (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-02)
    Estimates of participation or expenditure elasticities depend upon the assumptions made regarding the observation of zero expenditure at the household level. This research examines two single-hurdle models across two ...
  • Gupta, Rangan; Zita, Samuel (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-02)
    This paper investigates the ability of the Dornbusch (1976) sticky-price model for the nominal metical-rand exchange rate, over the period 1994:1-2005:4 in explaining the exchange rate movements of Mozambique. Based on ...
  • Akanbi, Olusegun Ayodele; Schoeman, N.J. (Nicolaas Johannes) (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-05)
    This paper reports on research aimed at measuring the determinants of education spending in Africa and secondly, investigates whether expenditure on education in Africa optimizes social welfare. The empirical estimations ...
  • Gupta, Rangan; Josine, Uwilingiye (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-06)
    This paper investigates the direction of temporal causality between budget deficit and interest rate in South Africa using quarterly data for the period of 1961:02 to 2005:04, and also for annual data covering 1961 to ...
  • Makochekanwa, Albert (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-07)
    The purpose of this study is to determine the causes of hyperinflation in Zimbabwe for the period February 1999 to December 2006 using appropriate econometric techniques. Results from long run and shot run econometric ...
  • Makochekanwa, Albert (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-07)
    The research attempts to empirically study the demand for money, especially the magnitudes of the price expectation and real cash balance adjustment for Zimbabwe. Price expectation and real cash balance adjustment models ...
  • Makochekanwa, Albert (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-07)
    This paper investigates the causes of capital flight from Zimbabwe for the period 1980 to 2005. The results show external debt, foreign direct investment inflows, and foreign reserves to be the major causers of capital ...
  • Makochekanwa, Albert (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-07)
    This paper looks into the changes of the black market premium for foreign exchange in Zimbabwe. Generally, the black market for foreign exchange arises as a direct consequence of the adoption of exchange rate controls ...
  • Gupta, Rangan; Ndahiriwe, Kasai (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-07)
    This paper investigates the direction of causal relationship between taxes and expenditure in South Africa, using quarterly data for the period 1960:1-2006:2, and annual data for 1960 to 2005. For both frequencies, gross ...
  • Gupta, Rangan; Lui, Guangling; Schaling, Eric (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-07-30)
    This paper develops an estimable hybrid model that combines the micro-founded DSGE model with the °exibility of the theoretical VAR model. The model is estimated via the maximum likelihood technique based on quarterly ...
  • Lui, Guangling (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-09)
    This essay is a comparison study of traditional Neoclassical growth theory and new growth theory. It also discusses growth theory in the real world by investigating the so called “growth miracles” and “growth disasters” ...
  • Chitiga-Mabugu, Margaret; Mabugu, Ramos (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-09)
    South Africa has undergone significant trade liberalization since the end of apartheid. Average protection has fallen while openness has increased. However, economic growth has been insufficient to make inroads into the ...
  • Chitiga-Mabugu, Margaret; Mabugu, Ramos (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-09)
    This paper focuses on the effects that a higher tariff on agriculture and food imports could have on poverty and the macroeconomy using a top down computable general equilibrium microsimulation model. This question is ...
  • Chitiga-Mabugu, Margaret; Mabugu, Ramos; Kandiero, Tonia (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-09)
    The paper uses a micro-simulation computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to study the impact on poverty of a complete removal of tariffs in Zimbabwe. The model incorporates 14006 households derived from the 1995 ...
  • Van Eyden, Renee; De Wet, Albertus Hendrik (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-09)
    Driven by intense competition for market share banks across the globe have increasingly allowed credit portfolios to become less diversified (across all dimensions - country, industry, sector and size) and were willing to ...
  • Eita, Joel Hinaunye; Jordaan, Andre Cillie (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-10)
    This paper investigates the causal relationship between export and economic growth for Botswana, using quarterly data for the period 1995.1-2005.4. It uses two measures of economic growth namely, GDP and GDP excluding ...
  • Eita, Joel Hinaunye; Jordaan, Andre Cillie (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-10)
    Under the Accelerated Shared Growth Initiative for South Africa (ASGISA), the South African government identified priority sectors that need to be promoted and developed in order to accelerate growth and reduce unemployment ...
  • Eita, Joel Hinaunye; Jordaan, Andre Cillie (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-10)
    This paper analyses the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Botswana for the period 1977 to 2006, using Granger causality through cointegrated Vector Autoregression methods. The results ...
  • Eita, Joel Hinaunye; Jordaan, Andre Cillie (University of Pretoria, Department of Economics, 2007-10)
    This paper analysed the determinants of South African exports of raw hides and skins (other than fur skins) and leather (H41) using annual data covering the period 1997 to 2004 for 32 main trading partners. The results ...