Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach

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dc.contributor.advisor Dyson, Liesl L. en
dc.contributor.postgraduate Van Schalkwyk, Lynette
dc.date.accessioned 2013-09-07T14:33:07Z
dc.date.available 2012-05-15 en
dc.date.available 2013-09-07T14:33:07Z
dc.date.created 2012-04-05 en
dc.date.issued 2012-05-15 en
dc.date.submitted 2012-02-15 en
dc.description Dissertation (MSc)--University of Pretoria, 2012. en
dc.description.abstract Cape Town International Airport (CTIA) is located along the extreme southern portion of the west coast of South Africa which has the highest frequency of fog in the country. Fog occurs more frequently at CTIA than at any other of the international airports in South Africa. Fog forecasting research in South Africa has largely been neglected and fog forecast verification results show the urgent need for improvement. Accurate fog forecasts are imperative for the aviation industry to prevent costly flight delays and diversions. The main aim of this research is to improve the forecasts of fog at CTIA. The first step towards realising this aim is to provide aviation forecasters with a comprehensive fog climatology that encompasses all aspects of fog: from the seasonal characteristics, to detail regarding the types of fog that frequently occur, synoptic circulations associated with fog and characteristics of the vertical profile of the lower troposphere and boundary layer in which fog forms. Fog types at CTIA are classified by means of an objective hierarchical classification method that takes the formation mechanisms of fog into consideration. Self Organising Maps (SOMs) are used as a synoptic typing method, to determine the synoptic circulations that are most frequently associated with fog at CTIA. Case studies are presented to illustrate the formation mechanisms of 5 different fog types by means of the synoptic circulation, surface observations, satellite imagery and atmospheric soundings. Conclusions drawn from these case studies can assist forecasters with the identification of potential fog events in advance. It is recommended that climatology and case study results be made available to aviation forecasters at CTIA and that similar studies be conducted for all international airports in South Africa that are frequently affected by fog. Copyright en
dc.description.availability unrestricted en
dc.description.department Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology en
dc.identifier.citation Van Schalkwyk, L 2011, Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach, MSc dissertation, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, viewed yymmdd < http://hdl.handle.net/2263/28956 > en
dc.identifier.other 12/4/126/gm en
dc.identifier.upetdurl http://upetd.up.ac.za/thesis/available/etd-02152012-103420/ en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/2263/28956
dc.language.iso en
dc.publisher University of Pretoria en_ZA
dc.rights © 2011, University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria en
dc.subject Cape town international airport en
dc.subject Self-organising maps en
dc.subject Fog type en
dc.subject Fog en
dc.subject Forecasting en
dc.subject Aviation en
dc.subject Climatology en
dc.subject UCTD en_US
dc.title Fog forecasting at Cape Town International Airport : a climatological approach en
dc.type Dissertation en


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