Abstract:
BACKGROUND : Nearly all countries have ratified the United Nations Convention on the Rights of the Child and, therefore,
support children having access to their rights. However, only a small minority of children worldwide have access
to their environmental, economic, and social rights. The most recent global effort to address these deficits came
in 2015, when the United Nations General Assembly agreed to a plan for a fairer and more sustainable future by 2030
and outlined the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). One remediable cause is the lack of revenue in many countries,
which affects all SDGs. However, illicit financial flows from low-income to high-income countries, including international
tax abuse, continue unabated.
METHODS : Using the most recent estimates of tax abuse perpetuated by multinational companies and tax evasion
through offshore wealth, and precise econometric modelling, we illustrate the potential regarding child rights (or progress
towards the SDGs) if there was an increase in revenue equivalent to tax abuse in Malawi, a low-income country
particularly vulnerable to climate change. The Government Revenue and Development Estimations model provides
realistic estimates of government revenue changes in developmental outcomes. Using panel data on government
revenue per capita, it models the impact of increased revenue on governance and SDG progress.
RESULTS : If cross-border tax abuse and tax evasion were curtailed, the equivalent increase in government revenue
in one country, Malawi, would be associated with 12,000 and 20,000 people having access to basic water and sanitation
respectively each year. Each year, an additional 5000 children would attend school, 150 additional children would
survive, and 10 mothers would survive childbirth.
CONCLUSIONS : More children would access their economic and social rights if actions were taken to close the gap
in global governance regarding taxation. We discuss the responsibility of duty bearers, the need for a global body
to arbitrate and monitor international tax matters, and how the Government of Malawi could take further domestic
action to mitigate the gaps in global governance and protect itself against illicit financial flows, including tax abuse.
Description:
AVAILABILITY OF DATA AND MATERIALS : All data is available on the GRADE website (https:// www. st-andre ws. ac. uk/
~grade/ doh/), the Missing Profits (https:// missi ngpro fits. world/), Hidden
Wealth (https:// gabri el-zucman. eu/ hidden-wealth/), Who Owns the Wealth in
Tax Havens? (http:// gabri el-zucman. eu/ offsh ore/) websites, and the Tax Justice
Network’s website (https:// iff. taxju stice. net/).