Households’ welfare analyses of the impact of global change on water resources in South Africa

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dc.contributor.author Juana, J.S. (James Sharka)
dc.contributor.author Strzepek, Kenneth M.
dc.contributor.author Kirsten, Johann F.
dc.date.accessioned 2008-12-18T11:00:07Z
dc.date.available 2008-12-18T11:00:07Z
dc.date.issued 2008-09
dc.description.abstract Most of the climate change models for South Africa predict a reduction in freshwater availability by 2050. Population growth is projected at 3% per annum, implying increased domestic water use. In addition to these factors, the concern for ecological sustainability and increased water pollution due to increased industrial, mining and agricultural activities, water availability for sectoral production activities is expected to decline. This decline has an impact on sectoral output, value added and households’ welfare. Using a computable general equilibrium approach, this study investigates the possible impact of global change on households’ welfare. The simulation results show that water scarcity due to global change can potentially lead to a general deterioration in households’ welfare. The poor households, whose incomes are adversely impacted, are the most vulnerable to the consequences of the impact of global change on water resources in South Africa. This vulnerability can only be reduced if welfare policies that maintain food consumption levels for the least and low-income households are implemented. en_US
dc.identifier.citation Juana, JS, Strzepek, KM & Kirsten, JF 2008, ‘Households’ welfare analyses of the impact of global change on water resources in South Africa’, Agrekon, vol. 47, no. 3, pp. 1-18. [http://www.aeasa.org.za] en_US
dc.identifier.issn 0303-1853
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/2263/8464
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.publisher Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa en_US
dc.rights Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa en_US
dc.subject Sectoral output en_US
dc.subject Factor remuneration en_US
dc.subject Households’ income/consumption en_US
dc.subject Welfare analysis en_US
dc.subject Food stamps en_US
dc.subject.lcsh Households
dc.subject.lcsh Water-supply
dc.subject.lcsh Global environmental change
dc.subject.lcsh Public welfare
dc.title Households’ welfare analyses of the impact of global change on water resources in South Africa en_US
dc.type Article en_US


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