Abstract:
Novel Coronavirus is a highly infectious disease, with over one million confirmed cases
and thousands of deaths recorded. The disease has become pandemic, affecting almost all
nations of the world, and has caused enormous economic, social and psychological burden
on countries. Hygiene and educational campaign programmes have been identified
to be potent public health interventions that can curtail the spread of the highly infectious
disease. In order to verify this claim quantitatively, we propose and analyze a nonlinear
mathematical model to investigate the effect of healthy sanitation and awareness on
the transmission dynamics of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) prevalence. Rigorous stability
analysis of the model equilibrium points was performed to ascertain the basic reproduction
number R 0 , a threshold that determines whether or not a disease dies out of the
population. Our model assumes that education on the disease transmission and prevention
induce behavioral changes in individuals to imbibe good hygiene, thereby reducing the basic
reproduction number and disease burden. Numerical simulations are carried out using
real life data to support the analytic results.
