Browsing Research Articles (Political Sciences) by Author "Cilliers, Jakkie"

Browsing Research Articles (Political Sciences) by Author "Cilliers, Jakkie"

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  • Europe and Africa - the enduring relationship 
    Cilliers, Jakkie (Institute for Strategic Studies, University of Pretoria, 2010-11)
    This article looks at two aspects of interdependence between Europe and Africa. The first relates to economics, the seconds to security. Under current trends, Europe's future looks distinctively like that of Japan today - ...
  • Future (im)perfect? Mapping conflict, violence and extremism in Africa 
    Cilliers, Jakkie (Institute for Security Studies, 2015-10)
    The central challenge for sub-Saharan Africa is to build accountable, capable governments that can deliver security and inclusive growth. Research into the drivers, trends and characteristics of violence in Africa may ...
  • The future of intrastate conflict in Africa - more violence or greater peace? 
    Cilliers, Jakkie; Schunemann, Julia (Institute for Security Studies, 2013-05)
    Many African countries experienced violent transitions after independence, which included civil wars and mass killings. This is not surprising considering the divisiveness of the original boundary-making processes, the ...
  • Parched prospects - the emerging water crisis in South Africa 
    Hedden, Steve; Cilliers, Jakkie (Institute for Security Studies, 2014-09)
    South Africa is over-exploiting its freshwater resources and water could be a large constraint on the implementation of the National Development Plan. Using the International Futures forecasting system, this paper ...
  • Power and influence in Africa : Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria and South Africa 
    Cilliers, Jakkie; Schunemann, Julia; Moyer, Jonathan D. (Institute for Security Studies, 2015-03)
    This paper explores the changing power capabilities of Algeria, Egypt, Ethiopia, Nigeria, and South Africa (the ‘Big Five’) over the next 25 years. Of these countries, Ethiopia and Nigeria are forecast to increase their ...
  • Reasonable goals for reducing poverty in Africa 
    Turner, Sara; Cilliers, Jakkie; Hughes, Barry (Institute for Security Studies, 2015-02)
    The eradication of extreme poverty is a key component in the post-2015 Millennium Development Goals process and the African Union’s Agenda 2063. This paper uses the International Futures forecasting system to explore ...
  • Reducing poverty in Africa - realistic targets for the post-2015 MDGs and agenda 2063 
    Turner, Sara; Cilliers, Jakkie; Hughes, Barry (Institute for Security Studies, 2014-08)
    The eradication of extreme poverty is a key component of the post-2015 MDG process and the African Union’s Agenda 2063. This paper uses the International Futures forecasting system to explore this goal and finds that many ...
  • South African futures 2030 - how Bafana Bafana made Mandela magic 
    Cilliers, Jakkie (Institute for Security Studies, 2014-02)
    No abstract available.
  • South African futures 2035 - can Bafana Bafana still score? 
    Cilliers, Jakkie (Institute for Security Studies, 2015-08)
    Using updated population forecasts, this paper presents alternative growth scenarios for South Africa up to 2035, and their implications for employment, politics and poverty. ‘Bafana Bafana Redux’ is the expected current ...
  • Violent Islamist extremism and terror in Africa 
    Cilliers, Jakkie (Institute for Security Studies Papers, 2015-10)
    This paper presents an overview of large-scale violence by Islamist extremists in key African countries. The paper builds on previous publications of the Institute for Security Studies on the nexus between development ...